TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
The odds in this market reflect aggregated trader sentiment, offering a forward-looking view that can diverge from current spot prices. While analysts might focus on technical indicators or macroeconomic factors, the market price here captures collective bets on where Solana will close on Aug 17, 2026. Comparisons to spot expectations can reveal over- or undervaluation, but this market’s price is driven purely by user activity on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting mechanism where participants buy ‘yes’ or ‘no’ contracts. The current probability reflects the ratio of ‘yes’ to ‘no’ shares outstanding, adjusted for liquidity. Traders’ expectations, recent price action, and upcoming events all feed into the dynamic odds, which update with each new trade placed on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing price of Solana will be checked against the target level, and the market will settle automatically based on whether the condition is met. No manual intervention is required after the market opens.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 17, 2026. Key events include major Solana network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, macroeconomic data influencing broader digital-asset sentiment, and unexpected volatility from large trades on major exchanges. Any development that changes traders’ expectations for Solana’s price on the resolution date may cause rapid moves in odds on Polymarket.