TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana above ___ on August 16?
polymarket

Solana above ___ on August 16?

Volume:
$12,738

70

 - Polymarket

70 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

70

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect a community-driven forecast of where Solana’s price will land by the resolution date. These odds often diverge from spot price expectations set by analysts or traditional financial models, as they incorporate unique trader perspectives and can react more quickly to emerging news or sentiment shifts.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders submit bids and asks that directly set the market price. The current probability reflects the balanced point where buy and sell orders meet. As new information emerges — such as macroeconomic updates, Solana network activity, or broader crypto market trends — participants adjust their positions, causing the price to fluctuate. This continuous trading process determines the live odds you see.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on Polymarket shortly after the relevant data becomes widely available and meets the platform’s verification standards.

Several signals could shift probabilities before Aug 16, 2026. Key catalysts include major announcements from Solana’s core team, regulatory updates affecting crypto exchanges, unexpected volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, and macroeconomic indicators like interest rate decisions. Large institutional trades or significant developments within the Solana ecosystem — such as major protocol upgrades or partnerships — may also influence trader sentiment and drive volume in this market.