TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about the Solana price market moving past the target level. This differs from traditional spot price forecasts, which may come from analysts or exchanges. The market odds capture collective wisdom around future price action, while spot expectations can vary based on market conditions, news, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing the two offers insight into market sentiment versus current trading dynamics.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously adjust their bids and asks to set the market price, which represents the probability of Solana closing above the specified threshold on the target date. The volume of $15,164 indicates liquidity and interest. Prices shift with new information, such as major announcements, token releases, or broader crypto market trends that influence investor behavior and expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing price of Solana on that specific date, sourced from reliable exchanges, determines whether the contract settles as 'Yes' or 'No'. Traders should monitor major crypto exchanges for the official closing values that will be used for resolution.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 11, 2026. Major announcements from Solana’s core team, network upgrades, regulatory developments affecting crypto exchanges, or broad market movements in the cryptocurrency space may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions or geopolitical tensions, often ripple through digital asset markets, potentially altering the probability outlook for the Solana price market.