TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether SOL will trade within the $63–$63.9999 range at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 81.0%. Resolution will be determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI across the sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on the specified date. Watch for major cryptocurrency market movements and macroeconomic announcements leading up to May 29, 2026, as these could shift SOL's price trajectory ahead of the resolution timestamp.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator security incidents, and ecosystem adoption milestones. Macro factors—Federal Reserve policy, Bitcoin volatility, and broader risk sentiment—heavily influence SOL's trajectory. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto or staking could shift long-term expectations. Competition from other Layer 1 blockchains and changes in developer activity on Solana may alter fundamental valuations. Token unlocks, venture funding rounds, and institutional adoption news can trigger sharp repricing. Geopolitical events and traditional market corrections often correlate with crypto volatility, making the 18-month window to May 2026 subject to significant uncertainty.