TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks Solana's price on June 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT across multiple price ranges. Participants predict which specific price band SOL will fall into at that time. The official price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD Real-Time Index data collected just before the expiration time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI collected before 5 PM EDT on June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with the market resolving Yes for whichever range contains the final averaged price. The price data source is CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index rather than other cryptocurrency exchanges, ensuring consistency and preventing manipulation through alternative data sources.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk hedging. While spot markets price Solana for immediate exchange, this market prices a specific future moment, allowing traders to express conviction about price movement, volatility, and macro conditions over the coming months. Comparing the implied ranges here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to consensus views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads for every range, and prices update in real time as new orders flow in. Traders profit by correctly predicting which band SOL will occupy at the resolution time, with payouts determined by the final verified price and the range they backed.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the SOL price is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning range is determined by where Solana trades at that exact moment, and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct outcome. Until that time, traders can adjust positions, hedge exposure, or take profits as new information and market conditions evolve.
Major catalysts include Solana ecosystem developments, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, Federal Reserve policy announcements, and Bitcoin price action—since SOL often correlates with BTC. Regulatory news, validator network health, and adoption milestones can also reshape expectations. Additionally, macroeconomic data, risk-on or risk-off flows, and competing layer-one narratives may influence where traders expect Solana to settle. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and institutional positioning helps traders anticipate range shifts.