TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Solana (SOL) at a specific moment on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price is determined by taking the average of 60 seconds of pricing data from CF Benchmarks' official Solana-Dollar Real Time Index immediately before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI over 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for SOL.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot exchanges show what SOL costs right now, this market prices in expectations about volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain developments over the coming months. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or consensus price targets can reveal whether traders are pricing in more or less upside than the broader market consensus expects.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers for each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers, and the midpoint between the best bid and ask reflects the current market price for that bracket. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions based on their conviction about where Solana will settle.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the specified time window closes and Solana's price can be verified from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains SOL's actual trading price at that exact moment, confirmed against established market data. Traders holding shares in the winning bracket receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include Solana ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic policy shifts, and Bitcoin price movements—since SOL often correlates with BTC. Technical milestones on the Solana network, venture funding rounds, or adoption announcements can shift trader conviction upward. Conversely, security incidents, exchange outages, or broader market downturns could pressure prices lower. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and institutional interest will adjust their positions as these signals emerge.