TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Solana's exchange rate against the dollar will be measured on June 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using a 60-second average price. This event divides the possible price range into specific price bands to identify which range the rate falls within.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' forward-looking bets on SOL's price range and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing the implied probability of each price bracket to analyst consensus or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or elevated volatility. Significant gaps between market odds and consensus views may signal mispricing or emerging information.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this SOL price range event is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcome contracts, each representing a distinct price bracket at resolution. Traders buy or sell shares in their preferred outcome, with prices ranging from $0 to $1. The current top outcome reflects the highest implied probability among all brackets. Liquidity and trading volume on Kalshi determine how easily you can enter or exit positions, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods. Real-time pricing adjusts as new trades execute.
This market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, at which point the final SOL price at 5pm EDT on June 10, 2026 is determined and compared against the predefined price brackets. The outcome that contains the settlement price is declared the winner, and all shares in that bracket are paid out at $1 per share. Shares in all other brackets expire worthless. Resolution is automated and final once the reference price is confirmed, ending all trading in this event.
Major catalysts for SOL price movement include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in DeFi activity on the chain, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto or Solana specifically, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin price action often influence altcoin valuations. Technical developments such as MEV improvements or security incidents can also drive volatility. Institutional adoption news, staking yield changes, and competing Layer 1 performance metrics may sway trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and ecosystem announcements helps anticipate directional moves.