TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SOL price range on Jul 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

SOL price range on Jul 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$420

$78 to 78.9999

 - Kalshi

$78 to 78.9999 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$78 to 78.9999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 to 75.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

$77 to 77.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

$38.9999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$39 to 39.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$40 to 40.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$41 to 41.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$42 to 42.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$43 to 43.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$44 to 44.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$45 to 45.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$46 to 46.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$47 to 47.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$48 to 48.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$49 to 49.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$50 to 50.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$51 to 51.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$52 to 52.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$53 to 53.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$54 to 54.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$55 to 55.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$56 to 56.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$57 to 57.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$58 to 58.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$59 to 59.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 75

Description

This event tracks the price range of SOL (Solana) cryptocurrency on July 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on which price band the simple average of 60 seconds of pricing data falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Solana-Dollar Real Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on July 11, 2026. The price is divided into distinct dollar ranges, each representing a separate outcome. Only one outcome resolves to Yes based on which range contains the averaged price at exactly the specified time and date. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.

Frequently asked questions

The Solana price range market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for where SOL will trade at a specific moment in time. Traders use this interface to view current market sentiment, 24-hour volume of $210, and cumulative trading activity. The dashboard displays the probability distribution across different price bands, helping participants gauge consensus on Solana's valuation. This market reflects collective trader expectations about SOL's spot price at the designated settlement time, updated continuously as new positions are entered.

Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums that spot markets may not fully price in. While a spot exchange shows the current transaction price, this market aggregates trader beliefs about where SOL will settle weeks or months ahead. Prediction markets tend to smooth volatility expectations and incorporate longer-term macro views, whereas spot prices react to immediate supply and demand. Comparing the two reveals whether traders expect mean reversion, momentum continuation, or structural shifts in Solana's valuation relative to today's level.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants submit limit or market orders, and the clearing price reflects the marginal trade. Each price band has its own contract, and the sum of all outcome probabilities should equal 100 percent. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, bid-ask spreads widen or tighten, and prices adjust to equilibrate supply and demand across the range buckets.

Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator health metrics, and shifts in developer activity or ecosystem adoption. Macroeconomic events—Federal Reserve policy changes, Bitcoin volatility, or broader crypto sentiment swings—often drive SOL price expectations. Regulatory announcements affecting Solana or the crypto sector, institutional adoption news, and competing Layer 1 performance can reshape trader conviction. Technical developments, security incidents, or changes to transaction fees and throughput also influence where traders expect the price to land by the resolution date.