TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of the Solana cryptocurrency at a specific future moment, using a standardized data source to determine the outcome. Participants can assess where the price will fall within predefined brackets at the exact time and date specified.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the one where the calculated average falls will resolve to 'Yes.' All markets use the same data collection methodology: CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices are recorded over the final minute before expiration, and the official value is the average of these sixty-second samples. This ensures consistency across all outcomes, with the secondary rule clarifying that while external sources may offer estimates, the RTI data is the binding reference for resolution.
Compared to current spot price expectations from analysts and on-chain metrics, this market’s odds reflect a slightly different risk assessment. While spot forecasts may focus on short-term volatility, traders in this market are pricing in a range of possible outcomes over the longer term, often incorporating macro trends and potential regulatory shifts that could influence SOL’s valuation leading up to Aug 21, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the closing price of SOL at exactly 5pm EDT will be checked against the range chosen by traders, and the market will settle automatically based on that snapshot.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major upgrades to the Solana network, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, or broad market moves driven by macroeconomic data could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, large institutional trades or news involving major SOL holders may cause rapid adjustments in the odds as participants reassess risk ahead of Aug 21, 2026.