TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price performance of a specific cryptocurrency at a precise future moment, using a standardized measurement method to determine the outcome. It focuses on whether the price exceeds various thresholds at a set time, providing a clear, time-bound test of market valuation.
The event evaluates whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026, exceeds various specified thresholds. Each threshold corresponds to a separate market outcome, resolving to "Yes" if the average price surpasses the respective threshold and "No" otherwise. The official price is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected in the final minute before expiration. Participants should note that while common sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the definitive price comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' RTI methodology, ensuring consistency across all threshold evaluations.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe about the future price of SOL. These expectations can differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst forecasts. This market allows for a forward-looking assessment, incorporating a wide range of information and perspectives. If analysts generally expect a certain price level, the question is whether traders in this market agree, disagree, or have a different view based on their own analysis and risk tolerance. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions about future events or varying levels of risk aversion.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the SOL price at 5pm EDT on September 25, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange providing real-time SOL price data. The market will then settle based on whether the actual SOL price falls above or below the levels defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. This determination is made based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could impact the SOL price. Broader macroeconomic trends, including changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency or blockchain technology are another key catalyst. Unexpected events, like security breaches or significant shifts in market sentiment, could also cause substantial price movements in this market.