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SOFR up or down for August 18, 2026?
kalshi

SOFR up or down for August 18, 2026?

Volume:
$2

Above 3.66%

 - Kalshi

Above 3.66% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 7:59 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.66%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether a key benchmark interest rate will exceed a specified level on a particular future date, reflecting potential economic conditions and monetary policy impacts at that time. It serves as an indicator of future financial market dynamics and central bank actions. The outcome depends on the actual rate set on that specific date.

Kalshi

If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for August 18, 2026 is above 3.66%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SOFR direction market tracks real-time odds and price history for whether the Secured Overnight Financing Rate will be higher or lower on August 18, 2026. It also displays 24-hour volume of $2 and total volume of $2, letting traders monitor market sentiment and activity as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the rate is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SOFR value for August 18, 2026, will be compared against the market’s defined threshold, and the result will be settled automatically based on that verified data.

Key signals include Federal Reserve statements, updates to interest rate projections, inflation reports, and broader economic data releases. Any shift in Fed policy guidance or unexpected macroeconomic developments could cause rapid changes in this market, as traders reassess the likelihood of SOFR being higher or lower on the target date.