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$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

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30,526

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2,693

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5

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VS.

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SOFR for August 28, 2026
kalshi

What will the SOFR be on August 28, 2026?

Volume:
$1,743

Exactly 3.61%

 - Kalshi

Exactly 3.61% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 7:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Exactly 3.61%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

3.60% or Below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$596
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.64%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

3.66% or Above

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.62%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.63%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.65%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a benchmark interest rate used in financial markets, reflecting the average cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities. Predicting SOFR for a specific future date involves analyzing economic indicators, monetary policy decisions, and market expectations. These markets allow participants to bet on whether the rate will fall within certain precise ranges or exceed specific thresholds by a set date.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the initially reported Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for August 28, 2026, drawn from the “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” table under the “Rate (%)” column. All markets share this single underlying data point, and later revisions of the reported SOFR are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market has a distinct resolution criterion: one resolves if the rate is at most 3.60%, six resolve if the rate matches exactly 3.61% through 3.65% (each covering a single precise value), and the final market resolves if the rate is at least 3.66%. The outcome of any given market depends solely on whether the reported SOFR meets its specific condition, with no market affecting the resolution of another. All markets conclude based solely on the original publication date’s value, ensuring consistency across all outcomes regardless of subsequent data adjustments.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the SOFR rate market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing expectations for the secured overnight financing rate by August 28, 2026, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The display includes current top-outcome probabilities and charts of price movements, giving users insight into market dynamics and total volume of $1,743.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a broader set of expectations and risk assessments from active traders. While analysts may publish mean estimates or ranges, this market condenses crowd wisdom into a probability distribution that can diverge based on real-time sentiment, liquidity conditions, and emerging macro data. Monitoring shifts in this market can reveal where trading sentiment differs from published expert views.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SOFR rate for August 28, 2026, will be determined by official data releases from authoritative monetary sources, and the market will close based on that verified figure.

Key signals that could shift this market include major Federal Reserve policy decisions, unexpected changes in U.S. Treasury auction results, shifts in global risk sentiment affecting dollar funding costs, and releases of U.S. economic indicators such as CPI or GDP growth. Any event that influences short-term interest rate expectations—whether through monetary policy surprises, fiscal announcements, or geopolitical developments—may cause rapid repricing in this market as traders adjust their forecasts.