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$134.1b

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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SOFR for August 27, 2026
kalshi

SOFR for August 27, 2026

Volume:
$0

3.60% or Below

 - Kalshi

3.60% or Below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3.60% or Below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.61%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.62%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.63%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.64%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Exactly 3.65%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

3.66% or Above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a benchmark interest rate used in financial markets, reflecting the cost of borrowing cash overnight secured by U.S. Treasury securities. Predicting SOFR for a specific future date involves analyzing economic indicators, monetary policy decisions, and market expectations. These markets allow participants to bet on whether the rate will fall within certain precise thresholds, offering a granular view of future interest rate expectations.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the initially reported Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for August 27, 2026, drawn from the “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” table under the “Rate (%)” column. All markets share this underlying data source and agree that subsequent revisions to the reported SOFR will not affect the resolution. Each market has a specific threshold or range: one resolves if the rate is at most 3.60%, five resolve if the rate matches exactly 3.61%, 3.62%, 3.63%, 3.64%, or 3.65%, and the final market resolves if the rate is at least 3.66%. The outcome of each market depends solely on whether the reported SOFR meets its respective condition on the specified date.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of where rates might move. While analysts may incorporate economic models and forward guidance, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to data, speeches, and market conditions, sometimes showing tighter or wider odds depending on recent trends.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SOFR value for the specified date will be compared against the market’s defined levels, and the matching contract will be settled based on that verification.

Several economic indicators and policy moves could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026. Key influences include Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, updates to U.S. Treasury yields, and shifts in market expectations for monetary policy. Major economic reports such as inflation data, employment figures, and GDP growth can also affect trader sentiment. As Sep 4, 2026 approaches, any surprise policy announcements or changes in financial conditions may cause rapid adjustments in market pricing.