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395,664

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30,076

events

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5

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VS.

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Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on March 26?
kalshi
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on March 26?

Volume:
$2,959

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on March 26?

 - Polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on March 26? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 26, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on March 26?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
kalshi

above $69

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
No
kalshi

above $72

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

above $68

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
kalshi

above $68.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

above $69.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

above $68.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

above $69.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

above $70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

above $70.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
No
kalshi

above $72.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

above $70.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

above $71

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

above $75.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
kalshi

above $71.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

above $70.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

above $71.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

above $72.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

above $71.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

above $72.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This event group tracks whether Silver (XAGUSD) price moves up or down on March 26, 2026. Kalshi offers 43 separate binary markets, each with a different price threshold at the 5 PM EDT close. Polymarket offers a single comparative market: whether March 26's close exceeds the prior trading day's close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use entirely different resolution methodologies: Kalshi employs absolute price thresholds, while Polymarket uses relative day-over-day comparison. The same price outcome on March 26 can produce contradictory resolutions across platforms.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with independent risk profiles. Kalshi's 43 markets create a granular price ladder; Polymarket's single market depends on March 25's close, which is unknown at prediction time. Hedge accordingly or choose the platform matching your directional conviction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 43 independent binary markets, each with an absolute price threshold. Resolution: YES if 1-minute candlestick close at 5 PM EDT March 26, 2026 exceeds the stated threshold; NO otherwise. All thresholds reference the same timestamp and data source (1-minute candle close). Key Quote: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on March 26, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [threshold], then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single comparative market. Resolution: UP if March 26 close > prior trading day close; DOWN if March 26 close < prior trading day close; 50-50 if equal, no trade, or either day is not a trading day. Uses Pyth 1-minute candle close at 5 PM ET as primary source, with CME COMEX Silver Futures as fallback. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on March 26, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.