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Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 17?
kalshi
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 17?

Volume:
$56,670

Above $65.75

 - Kalshi

Above $65.75 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $65.75

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,616
N/A
N/A
$4,325
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.75

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,100
N/A
N/A
$4,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 17?

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,420
N/A
N/A
$1,558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65.50

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.50

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,515
N/A
N/A
$898
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65.25

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$794
N/A
N/A
$782
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $63.75

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $62

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $61.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $62.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $62.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $63.50

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $62.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $63

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.25

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $63.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $61.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $66.50

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,082
N/A
N/A
$6,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $66

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,702
N/A
N/A
$2,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $67

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,127
N/A
N/A
$4,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $66.25

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,818
N/A
N/A
$2,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $66.75

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,754
N/A
N/A
$3,262
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group determines the outcome of Silver (XAGUSD) price movement on August 17, 2026. The markets will resolve based on different criteria: Kalshi uses a fixed price threshold above $60.00, while Polymarket compares the closing price to the prior trading day's close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets use fundamentally different resolution criteria: Kalshi uses a fixed price threshold, while Polymarket uses a relative price comparison to the prior trading day.Hero tip: Traders should be aware that these markets resolve differently. A price above $60.00 on Kalshi will always resolve Yes, but Polymarket could resolve Down even if the price is above $60.00 if it is lower than the prior day's close. Consider both markets' resolution logic before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above $60.00 USD/t.oz.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Up" if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on August 17, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET on that date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined using the official daily close price of the CME COMEX Silver Futures (SI) futures contract for that trading day. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session will be considered. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver at 5:00 PM EDT on August 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold price, and if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market settles to "Yes"; otherwise, it settles to "No". The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the 1-minute candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval, meaning the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

The silver price movement market dashboard aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the chance of silver ending higher or lower on the specified date. It displays consensus views and divergences, letting you see where Polymarket and Kalshi stand relative to each other. This real-time view reflects collective wisdom around the direction of silver, with volume of $56,670} and 24-hour volume of $42,339}