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Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 7?
kalshi
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 7?

Volume:
$19,254

above $72

 - Kalshi

above $72 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 8, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $72

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,738
N/A
N/A
$2,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,520
N/A
N/A
$1,962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,615
N/A
N/A
$1,258
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,598
N/A
N/A
$1,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,536
N/A
N/A
$1,294
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
$906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
$699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 7?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $73

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
$925
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether silver (XAGUSD) price moves up or down on April 7, 2026. Kalshi offers 40 binary markets each tied to specific price thresholds (68.00 to 77.75 USD/troy oz), while Polymarket offers a single relative-change market comparing April 7's close to the prior trading day's close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure fundamentally different outcomes: Kalshi resolves on absolute price thresholds at a specific time, while Polymarket resolves on relative price change versus the prior trading day. These are distinct market structures, not contradictory resolutions of the same event.Hero tip: Understand that you are trading two different products. Kalshi offers granular price-level exposure; Polymarket offers directional exposure. A silver price of 70.50 USD/oz on April 7 would resolve YES on Kalshi's 70.50 market but could resolve either UP or DOWN on Polymarket depending on April 4's close. Do not assume arbitrage between them.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 40 binary markets, each tied to an absolute price threshold. Resolution: YES if 1-minute candle close at 5 PM EDT on April 7, 2026 exceeds the stated threshold (68.00 to 77.75 USD/troy oz). Source: Kalshi's own data feed. Key Quote: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 07, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [X] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary market comparing April 7 close to prior trading day close. Resolution: UP if April 7 > prior day, DOWN if April 7 < prior day, 50-50 if equal or no trade. Source: Pyth (Metal.XAG/USD), with fallback to CME COMEX Silver Futures official close if Pyth fails. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on April 7, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.