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$134.1b

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$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

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406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 13?
kalshi
polymarket

Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 13?

Volume:
$18,099

above $80.49

 - Kalshi

above $80.49 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 13, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $80.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
$1,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $77.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $78.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $79.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $75.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $85.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,079
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
kalshi

above $86.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,652
N/A
N/A
$1,008
Settled
No
kalshi

above $83.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,571
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

above $84.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,660
N/A
N/A
$940
Settled
No
kalshi

above $82.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,523
N/A
N/A
$1,187
Settled
No
kalshi

above $81.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,345
N/A
N/A
$1,245
Settled
No
kalshi

above $88.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

above $91.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
kalshi

above $89.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
$470
Settled
No
kalshi

above $94.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
No
kalshi

above $90.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
kalshi

above $97.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$351
Settled
No
kalshi

above $87.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

above $102.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

above $101.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

above $95.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

above $100.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

above $93.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

above $98.49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group compares silver (SI) futures price movement on March 13, 2026. Polymarket resolves based on whether the CME settlement price for the Active Month silver futures contract is higher or lower than the previous trading day's settlement. Kalshi uses a single 1-minute candlestick open price at 5 PM EDT on March 13 against multiple fixed thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure incompatible price points using different methodologies. Polymarket uses CME official settlement price (day-over-day comparison); Kalshi uses a single 1-minute candlestick open at 5 PM EDT against 40 fixed thresholds. These markets will not correlate and cannot be cross-hedged.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent markets. Polymarket is a relative day-over-day comparison; Kalshi is an absolute price level test at a specific time. Monitor CME settlement publication timing (must occur by 11:59 PM ET next day on Polymarket) and ensure Kalshi's 5 PM EDT data source is reliable. Clarify Kalshi's No resolution condition if the open price is below $63.49.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves Up if CME Active Month silver futures settlement price on March 13, 2026 is higher than the previous trading day's settlement price for the same contract month. Resolves Down if lower. Uses official CME settlement price only; intraday prices do not count. If Active Month changes between the two days, the same contract from the previous day is used for comparison. If CME does not publish by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if the 1-minute candlestick open price for silver at 5 PM EDT on March 13, 2026 exceeds any of 40 price thresholds ($63.49, $64.49, $65.49... up to $102.49). All 40 conditions trigger Yes. No explicit No condition is stated; resolution if price is below $63.49 is ambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.