TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise closing price of silver at a specific moment, using tightly defined thresholds to determine outcomes. The focus is on a single, high-frequency price snapshot that reflects real-time market conditions during a brief trading interval.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 49 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 49.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 49.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 49.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 50.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 50.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 50.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 51 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 51.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 51.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 51.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 52 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 52.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 52.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 52.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 54 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 54.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 54.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 54.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, a common question is whether prediction markets outperform polls or expert opinions. Generally, prediction markets often aggregate information more efficiently than individual forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. It’s worth noting that analysts’ predictions are often based on fundamental and technical analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs about the silver price.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement will be based on the closing price of silver on October 26, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. The final price will be sourced from a recognized exchange and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and their resulting payouts shortly after the resolution date.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major economic reports, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions from central banks, often impact precious metal prices. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes or political instability, can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, shifts in industrial demand, particularly from sectors like electronics and solar energy, could affect the silver price. Unexpected supply disruptions from major silver-producing countries would also likely move this market.