TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the precise closing price of silver at a specific moment, settling based on real-time market data. It examines whether the price exceeds various thresholds, offering multiple perspectives on market performance at that instant.
Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 55.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 56.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 57.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 58.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 59 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 59.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 59.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 59.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 60 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 60.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 60.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 60.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 61 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 61.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 61.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 61.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 62 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 62.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 62.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 62.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 63 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 63.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 63.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 63.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 64 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 64.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 64.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 64.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Frequently, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional surveys or expert predictions regarding the future silver price. While analysts often rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of information and potential catalysts, as traders react to news and events in real-time. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked factors or differing interpretations of available data, offering a valuable alternative viewpoint.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, establishing the current price. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the silver price, as their profits depend on the correctness of their assessments. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the consensus view of all participants, constantly updating as new information emerges and trading activity fluctuates. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a transparent and efficient way to discover the market’s expectation for the future silver price.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement price will be determined by the London Bullion Market Association’s (LBMA) official silver price at 5:00 PM EDT on October 12, 2026. This price will be used to determine which traders correctly predicted the outcome and are entitled to payouts based on their positions. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions by central banks, often influence silver prices. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes or political instability, can also create uncertainty and affect demand for safe-haven assets like silver. Additionally, changes in industrial demand, supply disruptions from mining operations, and even significant shifts in investor sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.
%20scale(0.82)%20translate(-12.5%20-12.5)'%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M9.619%2012.69h12.995a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200-2.76h-3.932l5.298-5.405.032-.032L22.08%202.56h-5.255V1.38c0-.76-.619-1.38-1.38-1.38H9.81c-.76%200-1.38.62-1.38%201.38V11.5c0%20.657.534%201.19%201.19%201.19m12.995-2.186h-5.3l5.89-6.01-1.139-1.139-5.813%205.933V1.38a.806.806%200%200%200-.805-.806.806.806%200%200%200-.805.806v9.545c0%20.656.533%201.19%201.189%201.19h6.783a.806.806%200%200%200%200-1.612'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M14.393%2011.31H1.398a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200%202.76H5.33L.032%2019.476%200%2019.507l1.931%201.933h5.255v1.18c0%20.76.619%201.38%201.379%201.38h5.638c.76%200%201.38-.62%201.38-1.38V12.5c0-.657-.534-1.19-1.19-1.19m.293%2011.31a.8.8%200%200%201-.788.805.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.805v-7.904l-5.69%205.928-1.113-1.139%205.764-6.005H6.884a.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.806c0-.444.353-.806.787-.806h6.638c.642%200%201.164.534%201.164%201.19z'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}