TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the precise closing price of silver at a specific moment, settling based on real-time market data. The outcome depends entirely on whether the price exceeds various predetermined thresholds at the conclusion of a one-minute trading window.
Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 46 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 46.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 46.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 46.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 47 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 47.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 47.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 47.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 48 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 48.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 48.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 48.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 49 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 49.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 49.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 49.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 50.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 50.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 50.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 51 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 51.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 51.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 51.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 52 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 52.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 52.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 52.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 53 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 53.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 53.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 53.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 54 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 54.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 54.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 54.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 55 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 55.25 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 55.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 55.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to make a direct comparison between the predictions embedded in this market and traditional analyst forecasts for silver prices. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market represents a probability distribution of potential outcomes. It aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders, potentially offering a more nuanced view than a single analyst’s opinion. It is important to note that analyst forecasts are often based on fundamental analysis, while this market reflects both fundamental and speculative factors. The market’s current pricing suggests a different outlook than many polled experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, and trades occur when they match. The price of a contract represents the probability of the silver price being above that level on November 2, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own expectations, leading to dynamic price changes. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind those prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the silver price on November 2, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct price range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major economic reports, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, could influence investor sentiment towards silver. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes or political instability, often drive demand for safe-haven assets like silver. Unexpected changes in industrial demand, particularly from sectors like electronics or solar energy, could also shift prices. Furthermore, significant movements in the US dollar or other major currencies could affect silver’s value, as it is often priced in USD. Any news impacting the overall commodity market could also move this market.
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