TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The future price of silver is a key indicator in global commodity markets, reflecting supply-demand dynamics and economic sentiment. Tracking precise price thresholds at specific times offers insights into market behavior and potential economic trends.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for silver at 5:00 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold price, and if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency at the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a dynamic, crowd-sourced outlook that adjusts continuously to new information. While analysts may publish periodic reports based on models and expectations, this market reflects the aggregated bets of active traders, often capturing short-term shifts or sentiment that may not yet appear in formal forecasts.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the silver price market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects collective trader sentiment, adjusted for market depth and recent trading patterns. Volume of $38,898 over the last 24 hours shows how engaged participants are. As we approach Jul 31, 2026, any significant shifts in supply, demand, or macroeconomic indicators could reshape expectations and alter this market’s pricing dynamics.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official closing value at the specified time, removing any ambiguity about the result once the date passes.
Several signals or events could influence this market before it resolves on Jul 31, 2026. Key drivers include shifts in global demand for silver, especially from tech and renewable energy sectors, as well as supply changes due to mining output or geopolitical tensions affecting production. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate decisions, inflation data, and currency fluctuations may also impact investor sentiment. Natural disasters or policy announcements could cause rapid swings, so monitoring these developments will be essential for tracking this market’s trajectory.