TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise closing price of silver at a specific moment, using ultra-short-term trading data to determine outcomes. It focuses on minute-by-minute market behavior rather than broader trends, making it highly sensitive to immediate price fluctuations.
Multiple markets exist with varying threshold prices for silver's closing value on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick at that exact time exceeds its specific threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: prices are rounded to the nearest cent; the candlestick close reflects trading activity from the preceding minute (e.g., a 4:59 PM timestamp reflects trades from 4:59:00 to 4:59:59 PM closing at 5:00 PM); and if no data is available for the specified time, the most recent published price is used for resolution.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on macro models or supply-demand studies, this market incorporates crowd-sourced trader sentiment updated continuously. While analysts might publish target ranges or scenarios, this market’s odds reflect aggregated bets that can shift rapidly with economic data, geopolitical events, or inventory reports. Comparing the two offers a real-time view of market confidence versus established research.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders submit bids and asks that directly set the market price, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. Volume of $88,260 helps indicate liquidity and interest. The pricing mechanism allows participants to hedge or speculate based on their outlook for silver price movements, with orders executing instantly at prevailing rates.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official price sources at the specified time to determine whether the contract’s conditions are met, settling all positions based on the confirmed result.
Key signals include U.S. Federal Reserve policy updates, changes in global silver supply chains, and shifts in industrial or investment demand. Economic data releases, geopolitical tensions affecting mining regions, and inflation reports could all influence trader sentiment. Any surprise announcement or market-wide volatility often prompts rapid repricing in this market as participants adjust their positions.