TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Silver price on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Silver price on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$30,208

Above $63.99

 - Kalshi

Above $63.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $63.99

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,646
N/A
N/A
$7,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $62.99

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,144
N/A
N/A
$1,506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $61.99

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $41.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $42.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $45.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $43.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $44.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $58.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $60.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $46.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $57.99

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.99

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,874
N/A
N/A
$2,819
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $65.99

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,096
N/A
N/A
$1,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $67.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,005
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $68.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,334
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $66.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,328
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $69.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
$1,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $72.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $70.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $47.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $48.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $49.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $50.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $51.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of silver at a specific moment, determining outcomes based on whether it exceeds various thresholds. The focus is on a single, instantaneous measurement of market value for the precious metal. Outcomes are determined by comparing the price against predefined levels at the exact closing time.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist, each tied to a distinct price threshold for silver's closing value on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. All markets share identical procedural rules: the settlement value uses the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT, rounded to the nearest cent. The candlestick's close reflects trading activity ending at 5:00 PM, with the timestamp indicating the preceding minute's data. If the source agency fails to publish data for the specified time, the most recent available data point is used for resolution. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if silver's closing price exceeds its specific threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.'

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and fundamental data, traders on Kalshi react quickly to news, inventory reports, and macroeconomic signals. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent events, but the market price usually converges toward consensus views in the weeks before Aug 14, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for silver price movements. The displayed probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity determined by the volume of $30,208. Traders can also use limit orders to lock in specific prices, and market depth charts show how supply and demand stack up across possible outcomes.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final price locked in after that date, and all positions settle based on the officially recorded value at that specific moment.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic announcements, changes in industrial demand, precious metals inventory reports, and geopolitical developments affecting mining output. Natural disasters, trade policy shifts, or unexpected central bank actions may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 14, 2026 approaches, any data pointing to supply shortages or demand surges will likely cause rapid re-pricing in the odds.