TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market divides Shiba Inu's possible price range on June 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific bands, from below $0.0000005 up to $0.0000135 and above. Traders predict which price range SHIB will occupy at expiration. The official price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolves Yes for whichever range contains the final averaged price. The price data comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, with 60 individual prices collected in the final minute before expiration and averaged to produce the official settlement value.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking expectations over a longer horizon. Traders weigh technical analysis, on-chain metrics, macroeconomic factors, and sentiment to price their positions. When prediction odds shift significantly from consensus analyst views, it can signal either emerging conviction or mispricing—making the market a useful barometer of crowd expectations versus traditional price discovery mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers, and the clearing price reflects the marginal trader's willingness to pay. Shares are binary—they either resolve to $1 if the outcome falls within that range, or $0 if it does not. This structure incentivizes accurate probability estimation, since traders profit by correctly predicting which range SHIB will occupy at settlement.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by the verified price of Shiba Inu at that specific moment. The result is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting of spot prices. Traders holding shares in the winning range receive their payout, while shares in non-winning ranges expire worthless. The exact price source and methodology are established by the platform to ensure fairness and prevent disputes.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Shiba Inu–specific developments such as ecosystem updates or exchange listings. Broader crypto sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, and shifts in stablecoin demand can all influence SHIB's trajectory. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation, burn events, or changes in holder distribution may also sway trader positioning. Unexpected news regarding the project's roadmap or partnerships could trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust their probability estimates.