TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible Shiba Inu (SHIB) price range into specific bands on June 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders bet on which price range SHIB will fall within. The price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks data immediately before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 25, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for accurate price determination.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot price shows SHIB's value right now, this market's odds reveal whether traders expect the price to rise, fall, or stay within a specific range by late June 2026. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or consolidation—insights that differ from simple technical analysis or analyst price targets alone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different SHIB price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the probability that outcome will occur. As new trades flow in, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens based on supply and demand, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market or limit prices throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, when the settlement time arrives and SHIB's price can be verified from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket SHIB occupies at that exact moment, and once the event is confirmed, the corresponding contract pays out in full while all others expire worthless. Participants should monitor the approach to this date to manage their positions before final settlement.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum sentiment that ripple through altcoins, and any Shiba Inu ecosystem developments such as Shibarium updates or partnership news. Macroeconomic events—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings—can also drive SHIB price action. Additionally, whale wallet movements, exchange inflows or outflows, and social media momentum can create sharp repricing in trader expectations leading up to the June 2026 settlement.