TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the Shiba Inu (SHIB) cryptocurrency price range at 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Traders can bet on whether SHIB will fall within specific price bands, from below $0.0000005 to above $0.0000135.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range; if the average price falls within that range, the market resolves to Yes. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; the official value is determined by CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, with 60 prices collected at the last minute before expiration and averaged for the final result.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe SHIB will trade at by the resolution date, whereas spot prices show current market value. This market aggregates dispersed expectations into a probability distribution across price ranges, often revealing where sophisticated traders see asymmetric risk or opportunity. If consensus among prediction market participants diverges from analyst forecasts or social media sentiment, it may signal either underpriced volatility or overconfidence in a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different SHIB price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a binary outcome—either the price falls within that range or it does not—and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's uncertainty. As traders place orders, the implied probability for each range updates in real time, allowing you to see which price levels the market views as most likely.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by checking where SHIB actually traded at that specific moment. The winning price range is determined by verified spot price data from credible public sources, and all contracts corresponding to the correct range pay out in full. Traders who correctly predicted the price band receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting meme coins, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum that typically drive altcoin correlations, and Shiba Inu ecosystem developments such as Shibarium upgrades or partnership news. Macroeconomic events—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings—can also reshape crypto valuations broadly. Social media momentum, whale wallet activity, and exchange listing or delisting news are additional factors traders monitor when positioning for the June 2026 resolution.