TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible Shiba Inu price range into specific bands on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range Shiba Inu will fall within, with each outcome representing a specific price band from below $0.0000005 up to above $0.0000135.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for Shiba Inu.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to risk on specific price outcomes, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking sentiment over months, incorporating macroeconomic shifts, regulatory developments, and crypto market cycles. Comparing the implied probabilities here to traditional price targets can reveal whether the crowd expects SHIB to appreciate, decline, or consolidate by the resolution date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a claim on a specific price band, and the market price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned to that range. Liquidity and trading volume determine how tightly prices cluster, and bid-ask spreads widen or narrow based on participant interest and conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning price range is determined by where SHIB trades at the specified time, and resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for data verification. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting meme coins or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, shifts in retail sentiment on social media, and macroeconomic policy changes. Developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem—such as updates to the Shibarium layer-2 network or token burns—can also influence trader positioning. Market-wide volatility spikes, exchange listings or delistings, and changes in staking or utility mechanisms represent additional factors that could reshape expectations before settlement.