TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of Shiba Inu cryptocurrency on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders predict which specific price band the token will fall into, with ranges spanning from below $0.0000005 up to $0.0000135 or above.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the final 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and the market resolves Yes to the single outcome whose range contains the averaged price. For instance, if the average price falls between $0.000005000 and $0.000005499, only that range outcome resolves Yes while all others resolve No. CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index is the authoritative pricing source, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. The final resolution price is calculated as the arithmetic mean of all 60 RTI data points collected during the final minute before market expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price SHIB based on immediate supply and demand, this market embeds longer-term expectations and uncertainty into its odds. Comparing the two reveals whether the prediction market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment relative to today's trading levels. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes signaling shifts before they appear in traditional price action.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different price ranges for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome represents a discrete price bracket, and the cost of a share reflects the market's implied probability of that range occurring. As traders adjust their positions, the odds update in real time, creating a dynamic price discovery process that balances supply and demand across all possible outcomes.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, significant shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum prices, developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem, and broader macroeconomic events. Whale transactions, exchange listings or delistings, and social media momentum can also drive rapid repricing. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on the daily chart may trigger algorithmic trading, while unexpected news about the project's roadmap or partnerships could reshape trader expectations before the settlement date arrives.