TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the Shiba Inu price range into specific bands on June 18, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. Participants predict which price range SHIB will fall within at the specified time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on June 18, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. The price bands are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, covering all possible price levels from below $0.0000005 to above $0.0000135. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, whereas spot price expectations derive from current market valuations and analyst forecasts. This market aggregates the views of many participants with real money at stake, often revealing sentiment that differs from casual price targets or social media consensus. When odds diverge significantly from analyst expectations, it may signal either underappreciated risk or overconfidence in the prediction market crowd. Comparing the two perspectives helps traders identify potential mispricing and refine their own conviction about SHIB's trajectory through mid-June 2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads for every range, and the midpoint reflects the marginal trader's belief about SHIB's likely settlement price. As new information arrives or trader conviction shifts, the spreads tighten or widen, and prices move to reflect updated probabilities. Participants can enter limit or market orders to express their views, with the continuous pricing mechanism ensuring that odds remain responsive to real-time market conditions.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once SHIB's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The settlement price is locked at the designated time, and traders' positions are paid out according to which price range bracket the asset falls into. Resolution occurs automatically once the data is finalized, with no manual intervention required. Participants should monitor announcements as the date approaches to ensure they understand the exact settlement mechanics and any potential edge cases.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency broadly or Shiba Inu specifically, shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices that often drive altcoin sentiment, and any significant developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem such as protocol upgrades or partnership news. Macroeconomic events—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical tensions—can also influence risk appetite and crypto valuations. Social media momentum and whale trading activity may create short-term volatility, while sustained adoption trends or exchange listings could drive longer-term directional moves. Traders should track on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader market structure to anticipate potential price movements.