TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the Shiba Inu (SHIB) price into specific ranges on June 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Participants predict which price band SHIB will occupy at expiration, with resolution based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price movement, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market embeds longer-term expectations about Shiba Inu's trajectory over several months. Traders weighing macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and on-chain metrics may price outcomes differently than day traders. Comparing the implied probabilities here to consensus analyst price targets can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to mainstream expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different Shiba Inu price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a binary outcome—either the price falls within a specified band or it does not—and traders set the odds by placing limit and market orders. The platform's matching engine executes trades in real time, so prices adjust instantly as new information arrives or sentiment shifts. This transparent, decentralized pricing model ensures that odds always reflect the latest collective judgment of active participants.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, when the Shiba Inu price at that specific moment is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range SHIB occupies at the settlement time, with all contracts paying out according to the verified result. Once the event is confirmed through reliable market data, the platform finalizes payouts to winning positions. Traders should monitor the countdown to ensure they understand the exact timing and any final trading windows before the market locks.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem itself. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with altcoin sentiment, so broader crypto market swings could reshape expectations. Token burns, exchange listings, or partnership news tied to Shiba Inu could trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, changes in Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, or geopolitical events may influence trader risk tolerance and thus the probability assigned to different price outcomes before settlement.