TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The Shiba Inu-to-Dollar exchange rate will be evaluated using a 60-second average of the CF Benchmarks spot rate index taken just before 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026, across a range of price bands at very small decimal scales.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI collected before 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, with resolution to Yes if the average falls within that range. The ranges progress from below $0.0000005 through $0.0000135 or above, with each range spanning approximately $0.0000005 in width. CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index is the authoritative price source, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. The final official value is calculated as the simple average of all 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregate trader conviction about Shiba Inu's price range at the June 11, 2026 deadline, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility expectations. While spot markets price Shiba Inu for immediate trading, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, regulatory outlook, and macroeconomic factors over the next 18+ months. Comparing the leading outcome's implied probability to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders expect significant appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation relative to today's valuation.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Shiba Inu price recorded at exactly 5pm EDT on June 11, 2026, which is then matched against the predefined price range brackets offered in the contract. The outcome corresponding to the price band containing the settlement price is declared the winner, and all shares in that outcome pay out at full value while other outcomes expire worthless. This mechanism ensures a clear, objective determination based on real market data at a precise moment in time.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting meme coins or crypto broadly, Shiba Inu ecosystem developments such as Shibarium upgrades or burn initiatives, and macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite toward digital assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate strongly with Shiba Inu, so Fed policy, inflation data, and traditional market volatility can indirectly influence outcomes. Additionally, exchange listings, partnership announcements, or shifts in retail sentiment on social media can drive rapid repricing. Monitoring on-chain metrics like holder concentration and trading volume helps gauge conviction behind price movements leading up to the June 11, 2026 resolution.