TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts which price range Shiba Inu (SHIB) will fall into at 5 PM EDT on July 6, 2026. The resolution uses the average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' real-time SHIB/USD pricing data collected at the exact expiration time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 6, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, from below $0.0000005 through $0.0000135 and above. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index rather than other cryptocurrency data providers. Exactly 60 RTI prices are sampled at the final moment, and their arithmetic mean establishes the definitive settlement value.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot prices show what SHIB costs right now on exchanges. This market aggregates forward-looking conviction about a specific price range months ahead, filtering out short-term noise. If traders expect SHIB to remain stable or climb, odds on higher price brackets will rise relative to lower ones. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral expectations for mid-2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches trades continuously, and the midpoint of the spread reflects the current consensus probability. As new information emerges—regulatory news, market rallies, or technical shifts—traders adjust their orders, and prices move to reflect updated expectations. Liquidity and trading volume determine how quickly prices adjust and how tight the spreads remain.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning price range is determined by where SHIB trades at the specified time on that date. Traders who correctly predicted the range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the data is locked in, so timing and accuracy of your forecast are both critical to success.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Shiba Inu ecosystem developments, Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, and macroeconomic shifts. Whale transactions, exchange listings, or burn events tied to the SHIB token can also shift trader sentiment sharply. Social media momentum and mainstream adoption news may drive retail interest, while technical chart patterns and support/resistance levels guide short-term positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader market sentiment will help you anticipate how odds may evolve before settlement.