TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event predicts which price range Shiba Inu will fall into on July 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each outcome represents a specific price band, from very low prices up to higher valuations.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 3, 2026. The official price is calculated as the mean of these 60 RTI data points. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the average price falls within its designated range. While alternative sources like Google or Coinbase may provide reference prices, only the CF Benchmarks RTI serves as the authoritative data source for this market's resolution.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders collectively believe SHIB's price range will be, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and incorporate information about upcoming catalysts. Comparing the implied probabilities here to traditional price targets from crypto analysts can reveal where the crowd sees undervalued or overvalued outcomes, making this a useful signal for understanding forward-looking sentiment beyond today's market price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds for each range update in real time as new trades execute, with the current probability of each outcome visible on the dashboard. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads are and how quickly prices adjust to new information, so periods of higher activity typically offer better execution for both buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once SHIB's price at that specific time is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning range is determined by where Shiba Inu's price falls in the predefined brackets at exactly 5pm EDT on July 3, 2026. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event time once pricing data is finalized.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), Shiba Inu ecosystem developments, and macroeconomic shifts. Whale transactions, exchange listings or delistings, and viral social media trends can also trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, broader crypto market sentiment—driven by Fed policy, institutional adoption news, or security incidents—typically influences SHIB's trajectory. Traders monitor these signals to adjust their positions as new information emerges closer to the July 2026 resolution date.