TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the Shiba Inu (SHIB) cryptocurrency price at 5 PM EDT on June 30, 2026. Traders can bet on whether SHIB will trade above various micro-price levels ranging from $0.000000001 to $0.0000135. The price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of real-time pricing data from CF Benchmarks at the exact expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 30, 2026. Each outcome specifies a price threshold; if the 60-second average exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The official and final value is the average of the 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. If no data is available or incomplete at expiration, affected strikes resolve to No.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders collectively believe SHIB's price will be at the specified time, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and uncertainty into their pricing. Comparing the implied price from market odds to today's SHIB valuation can reveal whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation over the next eighteen months.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract reflects a specific price bracket, and the market price of those shares determines the implied probability of that outcome. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions based on your conviction about where Shiba Inu will trade by the resolution date.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual SHIB price at that specific time and date. Once resolution occurs, all positions are settled according to which price bracket the cryptocurrency closed within, and traders receive payouts based on their holdings.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that typically influence altcoin valuations. Adoption milestones, exchange listings, or changes to tokenomics could also drive significant repricing. Broader crypto sentiment, Federal Reserve policy, and institutional adoption trends will shape trader expectations for SHIB's valuation through mid-2026.