TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the SHIB/USD exchange rate on June 28, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, with outcomes representing whether the price will exceed various thresholds. Shiba Inu is a low-value token, so price levels range from $0.000000001 to $0.0000135. Resolution uses CF Benchmarks' official Real Time Index.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 28, 2026. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the average price exceeds the specified threshold. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake their capital on, making them a forward-looking gauge of expected price levels. Unlike spot prices, which represent the current market rate, odds in this market encode beliefs about where SHIB will settle months ahead. Traders who believe the consensus is mispriced can profit by taking the opposite side, which naturally pulls odds toward fair value. This mechanism often reveals expectations that differ from analyst forecasts or social media sentiment, offering a market-tested perspective on future price discovery.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where SHIB actually trades at the specified time, incentivizing accurate predictions. The bid-ask spread reflects uncertainty; wider spreads indicate disagreement among traders, while tight spreads suggest consensus. Real-time price discovery happens as new trades execute, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SHIB price at that exact moment becomes the reference point against which all positions are settled. Traders holding shares aligned with the actual price receive their payout, while misaligned positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event time once data is finalized and verified.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Shiba Inu ecosystem developments, macroeconomic shifts, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. Exchange listings, token burns, or community governance votes could also shift trader expectations. Broader market sentiment—driven by Fed policy, institutional adoption trends, or geopolitical events—often ripples through altcoin valuations. Tracking on-chain metrics like holder concentration and trading volume alongside traditional financial news helps anticipate how odds might shift before the June 2026 settlement date.