TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu cryptocurrency on June 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each market within the event corresponds to a specific price threshold, allowing traders to bet on whether the price will reach or exceed that level.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on June 26, 2026. Each market resolves Yes if the average price exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from above 0.000000000 to above 0.000012999). The official price source is CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index rather than other sources like Google or Coinbase, ensuring consistency and accuracy in resolution.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future spot prices, often diverging from current market rates. While spot exchanges show what SHIB trades for today, this market captures what participants collectively expect it will reach by the settlement date. Prediction markets tend to incorporate forward-looking sentiment that spot prices may not yet reflect, including anticipated regulatory announcements, adoption catalysts, or macroeconomic shifts. Comparing the implied price from market odds to current spot rates can reveal whether traders expect appreciation or depreciation over the coming months.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract reflects a specific outcome band, and the price of each contract—expressed as a percentage or decimal—represents the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time. Traders profit by correctly predicting which price band SHIB will occupy at the settlement time, with payouts determined by the final verified price.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by the verified price of Shiba Inu at that specific moment. Once the event is confirmed through credible public reporting and data sources, the market settles and winning positions are paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor the approach to the settlement date and be aware that final price verification may take a short period after the timestamp to ensure accuracy and prevent manipulation.
Several catalysts could shift trader positioning in this market. Major developments in Shiba Inu's ecosystem—such as announcements regarding Shibarium scaling, token burns, or partnerships—often trigger repricing. Broader cryptocurrency market movements, including Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, typically influence altcoin sentiment. Regulatory news affecting crypto trading or adoption could also sway expectations. Macroeconomic events, changes in risk appetite, and shifts in retail or institutional interest in meme coins may drive significant price swings. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and the wider digital asset landscape for signals that could reshape market conviction.