TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Shiba Inu's price will exceed various threshold levels on June 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each outcome represents a different price floor for this low-value cryptocurrency. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately prior to 5 PM EDT on June 24, 2026. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds the specified threshold. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for accurate price determination.
Prediction market odds represent aggregated trader conviction about a future price level, while spot prices reflect current market value. This market captures forward-looking sentiment that may diverge from today's trading—traders might price in anticipated volatility, regulatory developments, or macroeconomic shifts. Comparing the implied price from market odds to current spot rates can reveal whether the crowd expects appreciation, depreciation, or stability, offering a different lens than traditional technical or fundamental analysis alone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract reflects a specific price range or point estimate, and the market price of each contract moves based on supply and demand. As traders adjust their positions in response to news, chart patterns, or macro events, the odds shift to reflect the latest consensus on where SHIB will settle at the resolution timestamp.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on verifying the actual SHIB price at that specific moment, ensuring all traders are measured against the same factual benchmark. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency broadly or Shiba Inu specifically, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum prices that often drive altcoin sentiment, exchange listings or delistings, and macroeconomic policy changes. Community developments, partnerships, or technical upgrades to the Shiba Inu ecosystem can also influence trader positioning. Broader crypto market volatility, risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities, and changes in stablecoin liquidity all represent potential triggers that could reshape expectations before settlement.