TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the Shiba Inu (SHIB) cryptocurrency price at 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Traders can bet on whether SHIB will trade above various price levels, ranging from $0.000000001 to $0.0000135.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; if the average price is above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; the official value is determined by CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, with 60 prices collected at the last minute before expiration and averaged for the final result.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader conviction about a future price level, whereas spot prices represent current market value. This market's odds may diverge from what traditional analysts or on-chain metrics suggest, since prediction markets price in uncertainty and incorporate diverse viewpoints from active traders. When odds shift sharply, it often signals new information or a change in collective sentiment. Comparing this market's probability to your own fundamental analysis can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in tail risks or overlooking key catalysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to specific SHIB price ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers, and the clearing price at any moment reflects the marginal trader's willingness to buy or sell. Liquidity and order flow directly influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the Shiba Inu price at that specific time is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders holding contracts aligned with the final price receive their payouts, while those on the wrong side of the outcome realize losses. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring all participants can independently verify the result. Until that moment, positions remain open and their value fluctuates with market sentiment.
Major catalysts for SHIB price action include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, developments in the Shiba Inu ecosystem (such as Shibarium updates or token burns), and macroeconomic events that influence risk appetite. Exchange listings or delistings, whale wallet movements, and social media momentum can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum to anticipate directional moves. Any credible news about the project's roadmap or adoption could reshape expectations before this market settles.