TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Shiba Inu (SHIB) will reach or exceed various price thresholds on June 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Given SHIB's typically low per-token price, outcomes are set at very small price levels.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of price data collected before 5 PM EDT on June 22, 2026. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds the specified threshold at exactly the specified time on the target date. If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect aggregated trader conviction about SHIB's future price, which often diverges from current spot prices on exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and uncertainty. Comparing the implied price from this market's odds to today's spot price can reveal whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation. This gap frequently signals where informed participants believe the asset will settle, independent of short-term volatility.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in the outcome; tighter spreads indicate consensus, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty. As new information emerges—whether from on-chain metrics, exchange flows, or macroeconomic shifts—traders adjust their positions, and the market price adjusts accordingly to reflect the latest collective view.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources to determine the final SHIB price. The resolution process verifies the actual price at the specified time and date, ensuring all traders are settled fairly based on the verified result. Once the outcome is locked in, all positions are closed and profits or losses are distributed according to the final price level.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, significant updates to the Shiba Inu ecosystem or tokenomics, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic policy shifts, and changes in institutional or retail adoption. On-chain metrics such as whale transactions, exchange inflows, and holder concentration can also shift trader expectations. Broader crypto sentiment, stablecoin dynamics, and competing meme-coin developments may influence how traders position ahead of the June 2026 settlement date.