TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on whether SHIB's price exceeds various threshold levels.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks SHIBUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price exceeds the designated strike level. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price levels and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price SHIB based on immediate supply and demand, this market isolates expectations for a specific future date and time. Traders betting on higher prices push odds upward; those expecting lower prices move them down. The gap between current spot price and the implied price from market odds can signal whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or stability over the coming months.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a discrete price range or point estimate, and the market price of those shares determines the implied probability. As traders enter bids and offers, the equilibrium price adjusts in real time. This mechanism ensures that the odds always reflect the marginal trader's view, creating a dynamic and transparent pricing process throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the actual Shiba Inu price at that moment. Once the event occurs and the price is verifiable from established financial data providers, the market settles based on which outcome bracket or price level the asset closed within. Traders holding shares aligned with the correct outcome receive their payout, while those on incorrect outcomes receive nothing. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on widely available, independently verifiable information.
Major catalysts for SHIB price movement include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, developments in the Shiba Inu ecosystem or community initiatives, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. Exchange listings or delistings, whale wallet activity, and social media momentum can also drive short-term volatility. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with altcoin performance, so tracking major cryptocurrencies provides context. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions, which is why this market's odds can shift significantly in response to breaking news or technical developments.