TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu cryptocurrency on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders predict whether the token's price will reach or exceed various price thresholds, ranging from $0.000000001 to $0.000013 or higher.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the final 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves Yes to the outcome whose threshold the averaged price exceeds. For example, if the average price is $0.000005, outcomes requiring prices above $0.000004999 or lower resolve Yes, while outcomes requiring higher thresholds resolve No. CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index is the authoritative pricing source, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. The final resolution price is calculated as the arithmetic mean of all 60 RTI data points collected during the final minute before market expiration.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders collectively believe SHIB's price will be at a defined future time, whereas spot price expectations capture current market sentiment. Prediction markets often diverge from near-term spot prices because they incorporate longer-term uncertainty and diverse trader views. By comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst forecasts or historical volatility patterns, traders can identify whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral sentiment relative to conventional expectations for the asset.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the probability that SHIB will settle within that range on the resolution date. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express their conviction, and the market price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand, allowing participants to lock in their forecast at any point before the event concludes.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, shifts in macroeconomic conditions, and developments specific to the Shiba Inu ecosystem or broader digital asset adoption. Significant Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements often influence altcoin sentiment, including SHIB. Additionally, changes in trader risk appetite, new partnerships, or technical milestones within the Shiba Inu project could shift market expectations. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and broader crypto market trends will help traders anticipate how this market may evolve before settlement.