TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Shiba Inu's price reaches or exceeds various price thresholds at 5pm EDT on June 14, 2026. Given Shiba Inu's very small unit price, thresholds are measured in increments of 0.0000005 starting from near zero.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 14, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with increments of approximately 0.0000005. An outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds its threshold. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for Shiba Inu.
Prediction market odds and spot prices reflect different time horizons and information sets. Current spot prices show what SHIB trades for right now, while this market captures trader expectations about its value months ahead. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment that spot prices alone may not fully reflect, since traders are explicitly wagering on a future outcome rather than executing immediate transactions. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market expects SHIB to appreciate, depreciate, or remain stable relative to today's level, offering a complementary view to technical analysis or fundamental research.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different SHIB price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the gap between buyers and sellers, and tighter spreads generally indicate higher confidence and liquidity. As new information arrives—whether regulatory news, exchange listings, or shifts in broader crypto sentiment—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay aligned with real-time expectations about where SHIB will settle on the resolution date.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once SHIB's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the actual price of Shiba Inu at the specified time, measured against the price brackets offered in the market. Traders who correctly predicted the price range earn payouts, while those on the wrong side of the outcome lose their stake. The timing is precise to ensure all participants have a clear, objective endpoint for settlement.
Several catalysts could shift trader expectations before resolution. Major regulatory announcements—such as new crypto legislation or exchange compliance rules—often trigger sharp repricing. Developments in Shiba Inu's ecosystem, including burns, new token utilities, or partnerships, can alter sentiment around its long-term value. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, and macroeconomic shifts (interest rates, inflation data) typically influence altcoin positioning. Exchange listings or delistings, whale wallet activity, and social media momentum can also sway the market. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate how this market may evolve.