TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Shiba Inu (SHIB) cryptocurrency price on June 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. Each outcome represents a minimum price level that SHIB must exceed for that outcome to resolve Yes.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, and resolution occurs if the averaged price exceeds that threshold at exactly the specified time. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about where SHIB will trade at the specified settlement time, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and risk premium. While spot exchanges show the price right now, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment—incorporating anticipated volatility, regulatory developments, and shifts in retail or institutional demand over the coming months. Comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst forecasts or technical targets can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform's matching engine aggregates supply and demand, with the mid-market price reflecting the consensus probability at any moment. Traders can place limit or market orders to express their view on where SHIB will settle, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as more liquidity enters the book, making the market more efficient.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement hinges on capturing SHIB's price at the specified time, ensuring all traders reference the same data point. Once the resolution window closes and the price is locked in, the contract pays out according to the outcome, and positions are settled on the platform.
Major catalysts for this market include Shiba Inu ecosystem developments such as Shibarium upgrades, burn rate announcements, or partnerships that alter tokenomics perception. Broader crypto market movements—Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, regulatory news, or shifts in risk appetite—typically drive SHIB volatility as a high-beta altcoin. Macroeconomic events, central bank policy changes, and sentiment shifts around digital assets as an investment class can also significantly reprrice trader expectations heading into the June 2026 settlement date.