TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu cryptocurrency on June 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each outcome represents a different price threshold, allowing traders to bet on whether SHIB will reach or exceed specific price levels ranging from $0.000000001 to $0.000013 or higher.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive prices from CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 12, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome whose threshold the averaged price exceeds. For example, the $0.0000005 outcome resolves Yes if the average price is above $0.000000499, the $0.000001 outcome resolves Yes if above $0.000000999, and so forth, up to the $0.000013 outcome which resolves Yes if the average price exceeds $0.000012999. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for this market, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. The final resolution price is calculated as the mean of all 60 RTI data points collected during the specified 60-second window.
Prediction market odds and spot price expectations often diverge because they reflect different time horizons and risk profiles. Spot prices represent current market transactions, while this market captures forward-looking consensus about where SHIB will settle at a specific future moment. Traders in prediction markets price in volatility, regulatory shifts, and broader crypto sentiment over months, whereas spot prices react to immediate supply and demand. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market expects SHIB to appreciate, depreciate, or remain stable relative to today's valuation, offering insight into longer-term trader conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes for SHIB on the settlement date. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform aggregates all buy and sell orders to produce a real-time market price that reflects the collective probability assigned to each outcome. As new information arrives or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations about Shiba Inu's price trajectory.
This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on establishing the actual SHIB price at the specified time, drawing on widely recognized data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Once verified, all positions settle according to the final price level, and traders receive payouts based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual outcome. The exact mechanics ensure transparency and minimize disputes.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly before resolution. Major regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading or Shiba Inu specifically could trigger sharp repricing. Broader crypto market rallies or crashes, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum sentiment, and macroeconomic policy changes often ripple through altcoin valuations. Developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem—such as protocol upgrades, partnership announcements, or changes to token burn rates—may also influence trader expectations. Additionally, general risk-on or risk-off sentiment in financial markets can sway how traders price longer-dated crypto positions.