TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Shiba Inu's price will exceed various threshold levels on July 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each outcome represents a different price floor for this low-value cryptocurrency, allowing traders to bet on SHIB reaching specific price points.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SHIBUSD_RTI over a 60-second window immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 8, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price exceeds the stated criterion at exactly the specified time and date. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where SHIB will settle at a specific future moment, whereas spot prices represent current market value. This market's odds can diverge from today's spot price because traders are pricing in expected volatility, adoption trends, and macroeconomic shifts over the coming months. Comparing the implied price from this market to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are more optimistic or pessimistic than the broader consensus.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges or point estimates for SHIB. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the confidence and liquidity around each outcome, with tighter spreads indicating stronger consensus. As new information emerges—regulatory announcements, exchange listings, or shifts in crypto sentiment—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement reflects the verified price of Shiba Inu at the specified time and date, ensuring all traders are held to the same objective standard. Once resolution occurs, payouts are distributed based on which contracts correctly predicted the outcome.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, significant exchange listings or delistings of SHIB, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem itself. Whale transactions, changes in staking or burn mechanics, and broader crypto market sentiment swings can all drive rapid repricing. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social media trends, and traditional finance headlines will help you anticipate how traders might adjust their positions before the market closes.