TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu cryptocurrency on July 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT across multiple price thresholds. Each outcome corresponds to whether the token's price reaches or exceeds a specific minimum value at that time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 3, 2026. The official price is calculated as the mean of these 60 RTI data points. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the average price exceeds its corresponding threshold. While alternative sources like Google or Coinbase may provide reference prices, only the CF Benchmarks RTI serves as the authoritative data source for this market's resolution.
Prediction market odds reveal what informed traders collectively expect SHIB's price to be at a defined future date, whereas spot prices reflect only today's market value. This market embeds forward-looking consensus—traders who believe the price will move higher or lower than current levels adjust their positions accordingly. By comparing the implied price from prediction odds to today's spot rate, you can gauge whether the market expects bullish or bearish momentum over the coming months.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to specific SHIB price ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring by the resolution date. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices adjust in real time to match supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final SHIB price at that specific moment will be checked against reliable market data sources to settle all positions. Traders holding contracts aligned with the verified price will receive their payouts, while those on the wrong side of the move will realize losses.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and developments within the Shiba Inu ecosystem itself. Broad crypto market rallies or selloffs often drive SHIB price action alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. Social media momentum, exchange listings, and updates to the project's roadmap can also trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions ahead of the July 2026 settlement date.