TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) cryptocurrency on July 2, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on whether the simple average of 60 seconds of pricing data meets or exceeds specified price thresholds.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on July 2, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price exceeds the stated criterion at exactly the specified time. While external sources like Google or Coinbase may provide reference prices, the official resolution uses only CF Benchmarks' RTI data. If data is incomplete or unavailable at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders are willing to bet on SHIB's price at the specified time, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst consensus. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and uncertainty. Comparing the implied price from this market's odds to today's SHIB valuation can reveal whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or stability over the coming months. This comparison helps identify whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment relative to present conditions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different SHIB price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the probability traders assign to that price range occurring by the resolution date. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, bids and asks adjust, moving the market price. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds remain responsive to evolving expectations about Shiba Inu's value.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once SHIB's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The specific price level recorded at that moment determines which outcome contract holders receive their payout. Until resolution, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as their views on the cryptocurrency's trajectory change. The final settlement reflects the actual market price of Shiba Inu at the designated time.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, developments specific to the Shiba Inu ecosystem, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with SHIB trading, so developments in those markets can ripple through this prediction market. Exchange listings, community initiatives, or changes in on-chain activity could also influence trader expectations. Monitoring crypto news and market structure will help you anticipate potential moves in this market's odds.