TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of SHIB (Shiba Inu) cryptocurrency on July 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on the simple average of 60 seconds of pricing data collected immediately before the specified time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on July 11, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price meets or exceeds that threshold at exactly the specified time and date. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, odds represent the probability-weighted consensus on where Shiba Inu will trade at a specific future moment. Unlike static price targets, prediction market odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Comparing these odds to your own expectations or external analyst views can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism, pessimism, or uncertainty relative to conventional market analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders profit by correctly predicting the Shiba Inu price at the specified time, with payouts determined by which outcome resolves true. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, so early traders and late movers may see different odds for the same outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources to determine the winning prediction. The resolution hinges on verifying the actual Shiba Inu price at that specific moment in time. Once the event is observable and confirmed, payouts are distributed to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. Until that date, positions remain open and odds continue to shift based on new market activity and sentiment.
Major cryptocurrency market movements, regulatory announcements, and shifts in broader digital asset sentiment can significantly impact this market's odds. Shiba Inu-specific developments—such as ecosystem updates, exchange listings, or community initiatives—may also drive trader positioning. Macroeconomic events affecting risk appetite, Bitcoin price action, and changes in institutional interest in altcoins can all influence where traders expect Shiba Inu to settle. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate how odds may shift before the resolution date arrives.