TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Shake Shack's customer traffic performance for August 2026, comparing it against the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported foot traffic index exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger growth in customer visits.
All markets in this event share the same underlying index and methodology, measuring Shake Shack's monthly foot traffic for August 2026 against the same month in the prior year. The index, provided by Carbon Arc, uses mobile location data from over 200 million devices to track U.S. store visits, normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. A value of 100 indicates equal traffic to the previous August, with values above 100 signifying growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the first reported index value for August 2026 exceeds its specific threshold (ranging from 103 to 115). No market outcomes are affected by data corrections or revisions made after settlement, ensuring consistency based on the initial reported figure.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official foot traffic figures from Shake Shack or trusted third-party analytics firms will be used to determine whether the market settles on the high, medium, or low traffic scenario. The exact numbers are benchmarked against the market’s defined ranges.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026. Unexpected weather events, local holidays, or viral social media trends around Shake Shack could drive foot traffic higher or lower than expected. Additionally, any major news about menu changes, new location openings, or supply chain disruptions may affect trader sentiment. Economic indicators such as consumer confidence or disposable income trends could also influence expectations for dining-out behavior in August.