TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
predict
polymarket

Who will win the Serbia Parliamentary?

Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM EST - Oct 25, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,162,722
Volume 24h:
$1,266,376
70%
Liquidity:
$2,295,880
64%
Open interest:
$2,814,008N/A

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 25, 2026

Time left: 19h:26m:01s

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

72%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 72¢ buys you 139 shares | Odds: 72% Total Payout: $139 | Net Profit: $39 Multiplier: 1.39x | ROI: 39% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Trade
72%
6%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
1¢
$56,762
$19,739
13%
N/A
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Trade
72%
6%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
1¢
$337,926
$2,010,092
26%
215%
N/A
19h 26m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
71.5%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

Student List – Students Win

Trade
29%
7%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$25,401
$29,097
49%
N/A
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Student List – Students Win

Trade
28%
6%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$404,554
$3,035,538
38%
369%
N/A
19h 26m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$156,591
$52,492
2%
99%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$192,159
$2,878
0%
53%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$182,618
$2,849
0%
0%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$189,775
$2,582
0%
63%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$185,069
$2,447
0%
69%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$183,339
$1,785
0%
0%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$191,067
$1,651
0%
0%
N/A
19h 26m
active
polymarket

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$190,620
$1,574
0%
0%
N/A
19h 26m
active
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia winning the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. Currently, the aggregated probability across Predict and Polymarket indicates a 72.0% chance of this outcome. These predictions are based on trading activity from these platforms and will be settled using official results reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/). Market participants should watch the official announcement of election results following the parliamentary election on October 25, 2026, to see how the market resolves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, relying on the official seat count from the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia and employing the same tie-breaking mechanisms.Primary resolution logic: Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The electoral list with the most seats in the National Assembly wins.
  • In the event of a tie in seats, the list with the most total valid votes wins.
  • If a tie persists, the list is ranked alphabetically.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Definitive Results: If election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • List Composition Changes: Resolution is based on the list as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of subsequent party affiliations or internal reorganizations.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official results are published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia, but no later than March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Predict

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).